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The 4.2 kiloyear BP aridification event was one of the most severe climatic events of the Holocene period in terms of impact on cultural upheaval. Starting in ≈2200 BC, it probably lasted the entire 22nd century BC. It is very likely that it caused the collapse of the Old Kingdom in Egypt as well as the Akkadian Empire in Mesopotamia.[1] Also, the drought may have initiated southeastward habitat tracking within the Harappan cultural domain.[2]
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A phase of intense aridity in ≈4.2 ka BP is well recorded across North Africa,[3] the Middle East,[4] the Red Sea,[5] the Arabian peninsula,[6] the Indian subcontinent,[2] and even midcontinental North America.[7] Evidence has also been found in an Italian cave flowstone,[8] and in Andean glacier ice.[9]
The 22nd century BC drought also correlates with a cooling event in the North Atlantic, known as Bond event 3.[10]
In ca. 2150 BC the Old Kingdom was hit by a series of exceptionally low Nile floods, which was instrumental in the sudden collapse of centralized government in ancient Egypt.[11] Famines, social disorder, and fragmentation during a period of approximately 40 years were followed by a phase of rehabilitation and restoration of order in various provinces. Egypt was eventually reunified within a new paradigm of kingship. The process of recovery depended on capable provincial administrators, the deployment of the idea of justice, irrigation projects, and an administrative reform.
The aridification of Mesopotamia may have been related to the onset of cooler sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic (Bond event 3), as analysis of the modern instrumental record shows that large (50%) interannual reductions in Mesopotamian water supply result when subpolar northwest Atlantic sea surface temperatures are anomalously cool.[12] The headwaters of the Tigris and Euphrates Rivers are fed by elevation-induced capture of winter Mediterranean rainfall.
The Akkadian Empire — which in 2300 B.C. was the first to subsume independent societies into a single state — was brought low by a wide-ranging, centuries-long drought.[13] Archaeological evidence documents widespread abandonment of the agricultural plains of northern Mesopotamia and dramatic influxes of refugees into southern Mesopotamia around 2170 BC.[14] A 180-km-long wall, the “Repeller of the Amorites,” was built across central Mesopotamia to stem nomadic incursions to the south. Around 2150 BC, the Guti, which originally inhabited the Zagros Mountains, defeated the demoralized Akkadian army, took Akkad, and destroyed it around 2115 BC.
Resettlement of the northern plains by smaller, sedentary populations occurred near 1900 BC, three centuries after the collapse.[14]
In the Arabian Gulf region, there is a sudden change in settlement pattern, style of pottery and tombs at this time. The 22nd century BC drought marks the end of the Umm al-Nar period and the change to the Wadi Suq period.[6]
The drought may have caused the collapse of Neolithic Cultures around Central China during the late third millennium BC.[15]
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